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Old August 2nd, 2017, 06:33 AM   #1
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Trump: Instability is Not Unpredictability

This is the (yuge!) problem with the President that the left wing (and, more and more of the GOP all the time) realize is true and the Trumpeteers just refuse to acknowledge.

Trump: Instability is Not Unpredictability

One of the great myths about President Trump is that America's enemies would fear him because he is predictably unpredictable. Trump himself stated during the campaign that he didn't want to spell out general military strategy because he didn't want to warn our enemies. "Douglas MacArthur, George Patton spinning in their graves when they see the stupidity of our country," he stated during one of his debates with Hillary Clinton. And in April 2016, he stated: "We are totally predictable. We tell everything. We're sending troops? We tell them. We're sending something else? We have a news conference. We have to be unpredictable, and we have to be unpredictable starting now."

Trump, the theory went, would certainly be unpredictable.

The theory gained credibility after Trump decided to fire a missile at a Syrian airbase in the aftermath of American intelligence reporting that Syrian President Bashar Assad decided to use weapons of mass destruction on Syrian civilians. It seemed he had the capacity to frighten our enemies -- you never know what might set him off. That was a good thing: It left those who would challenge us in the dark as to where his triggers would be. If North Korean leader Kim Jong Un were to go too far, he might find himself on the wrong end of a cruise missile.

Now, it seems, Trump isn't unpredictable. He's absolutely predictable. He's just unstable.

There's a difference between unpredictability and instability. Unpredictability can be strategic. It can allow you to shift your moves in order to throw off your opposition. It means shifting your actual strategy and sticking with that new strategy. It's a key component of any chess game: Do something different and throw your opponent off course.

Instability is different. Instability typically manifests as shocking initial action followed by utterly predictable regression to the norm. The unstable people you know may flare up occasionally, but they generally settle down in relatively short order. And we can often predict when they will become unstable: when they feel threatened, when they have an emotional response to something out of the ordinary.

That seems more like Trump.

His initial bursts of rage generally peter out until convenience dictates action. If there's any massive blowback at all, he backs off. That's why his treatment of Attorney General Jeff Sessions is actually damaging to America on foreign policy: It leads our enemies to believe they can willfully ignore Trump's initial fulminations and then bet on cooler heads to prevail. It's not a coincidence that Russia and North Korea are gradually upping the ante with Trump in the belief that Trump will talk tough and do little.

All of this means that Trump may have to do something truly unpredictable: take a hard stand. On the home front, that means restructuring his administration so that it looks more like a major corporation than a family business, with rules and chains of command. We can hope and pray that retired Gen. John Kelly provides some of that structure. On the foreign policy front, Trump will have to stand behind real consequences for bad actors.

If Trump continues to respond to situations with knee-jerk activity followed by grudging acceptance, he won't live up to the promise he made: to unleash hell, in unpredictable but effective fashion, on the enemies of the United States should they violate our interests.

https://townhall.com/columnists/bens...&newsletterad=
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Old August 2nd, 2017, 09:51 AM   #2
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A good read, tris, thanks. I got this as part of the Axios AM roundup. A bit more detail as to what having Kelly there might mean. The problem is, as the last bit states, he's still tRump and how long can he play nice?

Quote:
The door to the Oval Office used to be wide open, with favored officials drifting in and out — even in the middle of meetings — to kibitz with Trump.

Now, the door is closed. Gen. John Kelly, the new White House chief of staff, has taken control in dramatic fashion, and is already imposing unmistakable signs of order after just a few days on the job:

Axios' Jonathan Swan is told that even POTUS appears to be trying to impress his four-star handler, picking up his game by acting sharper in meetings and even rattling off stats.

Meetings, which under Reince Priebus were meandering, are shorter and stick to their scheduled topic. Reince was a wallflower; Kelly moderates and is clearly in charge.
Everyone — even uber-aides Jared and Ivanka, and economic adviser Gary Cohn — is being deferential to Kelly.

Be smart: The most consequential workplace in America has been one of the most dysfunctional. General Kelly took an instantly assertive tack, and some of the overt shenanigans stopped overnight.

But the ultimate boss has no plans to really change. (Yesterday he tweeted: "Only the Fake News Media and Trump enemies want me to stop using Social Media (110 million people). Only way for me to get the truth out!") And the new internal order will remain only as long as he plays along.
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Old August 2nd, 2017, 10:22 AM   #3
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Oh look another liberal hack stuck on WaaaaaaaaaH we lost. Please for the love of all things good and noble keep it up and ensure another 4 yrs. Talk about unstable you libs are the definition.
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Old August 2nd, 2017, 12:40 PM   #4
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Oh look another liberal hack stuck on WaaaaaaaaaH we lost. Please for the love of all things good and noble keep it up and ensure another 4 yrs. Talk about unstable you libs are the definition.
are you retarded?

who's talking about the election?

that was almost a year ago - it's over and done with.

now, it's trying to deal with an inept and ill-equipped and completely unbalanced, senile President of our nation.
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Old August 3rd, 2017, 10:24 AM   #5
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Originally Posted by tristanrobin View Post
are you retarded?

who's talking about the election?

that was almost a year ago - it's over and done with.

now, it's trying to deal with an inept and ill-equipped and completely unbalanced, senile President of our nation.


Have you heard the latest?? "The White House is a real dump!" DJT

A golf journalist is standing by his report that President Trump called the White House a "dump" despite Trump's claim that it's "totally untrue."

Alan Shipnuck told Golf Magazine that eight or nine people heard Trump call the White House a dump.

Shipnuck published a report about Trump’s golfing hobby in Sports Illustrated this week, which included the revelation that Trump called the president’s house a “real dump” compared to his New Jersey country club.

Shipnuck told Golf Magazine that a White House spokeswoman called him to demand a retraction for the statement but that he would not do so because he heard it from multiple people and that he believes they are credible sources.
“It might be inconvenient for her boss and she might wish he didn’t say it, but it’s not a lie,” he said.

“They definitely don’t waste any time trying to be charming or friendly, these people in the White House communications department,” he added.

After the initial report was released, Trump took to Twitter to deny the claim, adding “I love the White House, one of the most beautiful buildings (homes) I have ever seen.”

Liar-in-Chief strikes again.

Golf journalist: At least 8 people heard Trump call the White House a ?dump? | TheHill
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