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Old March 5th, 2018, 06:40 PM   #1
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What Democrats and Republicans don't get about Robert Mueller

Here is a great POV of the Mueller investigation.

The major problem with our polarized political culture is that it fails to square with the way prosecutors and FBI special agents see the world. Investigators live their lives forward, collecting evidence and going where the facts lead, with no mechanism or fervor to predict the future. Any prosecutorial conclusion is based on an independent review of the information collected in its entirety, not on a desired outcome formulated from the start.

By contrast, in politics, one starts with a desired outcome and then works to achieve that pre-determined goal. Whether it's electing a particular candidate, passing legislation or defeating an enemy, every effort is calibrated to make the best use of resources, personnel and public opinion in order to help one side win.


Because we are all in the dark about the full details of the ongoing investigation, we have no way to know whether Mueller's work is nearing completion or if more shoes will drop. Anyone who claims otherwise is not being honest. Anyone banking on Mueller validating his or her side is being naÔve.
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Old March 6th, 2018, 03:32 AM   #2
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The 4 most likely outcomes of the Mueller investigation:

1. The Perfect Storm--While we are unlikely to ever be treated to tapes of President Trump gallivanting with prostitutes in Moscow or fielding furtive calls from Vladimir Putin from a campaign stop in Michigan, that doesn't mean Mueller doesn't have evidence of deliberate cooperation between the Trump campaign and Russian agents. It is already clear that campaign aide George Papadopolous had advance knowledge of Russian hacking operations into the DNC. If Mueller charges multiple senior members of the Trump campaign with felonies directly related to Russia's disinformation efforts and presents any evidence at all that then-candidate Trump knew about these machinations, his presidency is effectively over.

2. Much ado about obstruction--What if the Mueller probe ends up exonerating most, if not everyone, on the Trump campaign? Perhaps it indicts a handful of clownish hangers-on like Carter Page or Roger Stone for election-related malfeasance but leaves the inner circle — Reince Priebus, Kellyanne Conway, and the Trump family — relatively unscathed. Some Trumpist analysts like to cling bitterly to the idea that the president might survive an obstruction of justice charge if it is not paired with significant campaign wrongdoing.

3. If you build it, they will launder you money--Another scenario involves the president's exoneration in the whole matter of Russian interference in the 2016 election, a finding that no one in his administration acted knowingly to obstruct justice in either the FBI investigation or the Mueller probe, but instead some revelation of criminal behavior in the recent past of the Trump Organization.

4. The dream clean scenario--Of course, it is still possible, though seemingly unlikely, that the president will walk away from this imbroglio without being accused of election wrongdoings, financial misconduct, or obstruction of justice. It is certainly possible that campaign aides who ended up doing the bidding of Russian cut-outs did so "unwittingly" (in the language of Mueller's recent indictments of 13 Russian nationals accused of conspiring to defraud the United States). That would be embarrassing for them, but certainly not a prosecutable crime.

One thing is pretty clear, this administration will not be brought down by shame alone.

The 4 most likely outcomes of Robert Mueller's investigation
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