PREDICTION: Trump Ends Campaign By Sept. 1 - Page 9

Kipper · August 9th, 2016, 05:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hollywood

WHY are "them your persons in the elections 2016" is there a REASON???

Liberal Trump and Conservative Cruz are reason + they are republican and in my tast.

Even outlandish will speak English.

Kipper · August 9th, 2016, 05:54 AM

And they have been stuck for the Republicans both Trump and Cruz.

Kipper · August 9th, 2016, 06:08 AM

MacMillan are the Independent candidate if Trumph gets out from Buisness campaign??

baloney_detector · August 9th, 2016, 08:19 AM

The latest Trump vs Clinton general election poll results from RealClearPolitics:

Poll Date Sample MoE Clinton (D) Trump (R) Spread
------------------------------------------------------------------------
RCP Average 7/29 - 8/8 -- -- 47.6 40.1 Clinton +7.5
NBC News/SM 8/1 - 8/7 11480 RV 1.2 51 41 Clinton +10
LA Times/USC 8/2 - 8/8 2136 LV -- 45 43 Clinton +2
ABC News/Wash Post 8/1 - 8/4 815 RV 4.0 50 42 Clinton +8
IBD/TIPP 7/29 - 8/4 851 RV 3.4 46 39 Clinton +7
McClatchy/Marist 8/1 - 8/3 983 RV 3.1 48 33 Clinton +15
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 7/31 - 8/3 800 RV 3.5 47 38 Clinton +9
FOX News 7/31 - 8/2 1022 RV 3.0 49 39 Clinton +10
Reuters/Ipsos 7/30 - 8/3 1072 LV 3.5 43 39 Clinton +4
Economist/YouGov 7/30 - 8/1 933 RV 4.1 46 43 Clinton +3
CBS News 7/29 - 7/31 1131 RV 3.0 47 41 Clinton +6
CNN/ORC 7/29 - 7/31 894 RV 3.5 52 43 Clinton +9

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

RNG · August 9th, 2016, 08:53 AM

fivethirtyeight's meta-analysis gives Clinton a +8%.

Jimgorn · August 9th, 2016, 11:27 AM

It's 90 days out....so the polls mean squat.....They don't start meaning anything until after Labor Day when the low information voters wake up.....till then......<yawn>

Kipper · August 9th, 2016, 12:05 PM

Hollywood, now it is nothing with Trump. I change my waivers to Carson, Cruz and Mcmillan.

baloney_detector · August 9th, 2016, 05:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RNG

fivethirtyeight's meta-analysis gives Clinton a +8%.

Interesting website...thanks!

justoneman · August 11th, 2016, 04:42 PM

Compare the last 4 poll results from real clear politics with the previous 4 polls. The average of the previous 4 polls was Clinton +10. The average of the most recent 4 polls is Clinton +5.25

A big change. The Democrat convention bounce is fading away.

Bloomberg 8/5 - 8/8 749 LV 3.6 50 44 Clinton +6
Reuters/Ipsos 8/6 - 8/10 974 LV 3.5 42 36 Clinton +6
Economist/YouGov 8/6 - 8/9 911 RV 4.2 48 41 Clinton +7
LA Times/USC 8/4 - 8/10 2203 LV -- 45 43 Clinton +2
NBC News/SM 8/1 - 8/7 11480 RV 1.2 51 41 Clinton +10
ABC News/Wash Post 8/1 - 8/4 815 RV 4.0 50 42 Clinton +8
IBD/TIPP 7/29 - 8/4 851 RV 3.4 46 39 Clinton +7
McClatchy/Marist 8/1 - 8/3 983 RV 3.1 48 33 Clinton +15

Endtherepublic · August 11th, 2016, 05:54 PM

The sooner Trump is destroyed and the Republican party, the better off the people will be.

August 9th, 2016, 08:19 AM	#84
baloney_detector Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: USA Posts: 4,858	The latest Trump vs Clinton general election poll results from RealClearPolitics: Poll Date Sample MoE Clinton (D) Trump (R) Spread ------------------------------------------------------------------------ RCP Average 7/29 - 8/8 -- -- 47.6 40.1 Clinton +7.5 NBC News/SM 8/1 - 8/7 11480 RV 1.2 51 41 Clinton +10 LA Times/USC 8/2 - 8/8 2136 LV -- 45 43 Clinton +2 ABC News/Wash Post 8/1 - 8/4 815 RV 4.0 50 42 Clinton +8 IBD/TIPP 7/29 - 8/4 851 RV 3.4 46 39 Clinton +7 McClatchy/Marist 8/1 - 8/3 983 RV 3.1 48 33 Clinton +15 NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 7/31 - 8/3 800 RV 3.5 47 38 Clinton +9 FOX News 7/31 - 8/2 1022 RV 3.0 49 39 Clinton +10 Reuters/Ipsos 7/30 - 8/3 1072 LV 3.5 43 39 Clinton +4 Economist/YouGov 7/30 - 8/1 933 RV 4.1 46 43 Clinton +3 CBS News 7/29 - 7/31 1131 RV 3.0 47 41 Clinton +6 CNN/ORC 7/29 - 7/31 894 RV 3.5 52 43 Clinton +9 RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - General Election: Trump vs. Clinton Last edited by baloney_detector; August 9th, 2016 at 08:25 AM.

August 9th, 2016, 08:53 AM	#85
RNG Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2013 Location: LA LA Land North Posts: 25,317	fivethirtyeight's meta-analysis gives Clinton a +8%. Thanks from baloney_detector and GhostRider

August 11th, 2016, 05:54 PM	#90
Endtherepublic Senior Member Join Date: Sep 2015 Location: earth Posts: 516	The sooner Trump is destroyed and the Republican party, the better off the people will be. Thanks from highway80west

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August 9th, 2016, 05:54 AM	#82
Kipper Banned Join Date: Aug 2016 Location: Sweden Posts: 1,972	And they have been stuck for the Republicans both Trump and Cruz.

August 9th, 2016, 06:08 AM	#83
Kipper Banned Join Date: Aug 2016 Location: Sweden Posts: 1,972	MacMillan are the Independent candidate if Trumph gets out from Buisness campaign??

August 9th, 2016, 11:27 AM	#86
Jimgorn Senior Member Join Date: Sep 2015 Location: Lehigh Valley Pa.,USA Posts: 6,513	It's 90 days out....so the polls mean squat.....They don't start meaning anything until after Labor Day when the low information voters wake up.....till then......<yawn>

August 9th, 2016, 12:05 PM	#87
Kipper Banned Join Date: Aug 2016 Location: Sweden Posts: 1,972	Hollywood, now it is nothing with Trump. I change my waivers to Carson, Cruz and Mcmillan.

August 11th, 2016, 04:42 PM	#89
justoneman Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2015 Location: chicago Posts: 2,435	Compare the last 4 poll results from real clear politics with the previous 4 polls. The average of the previous 4 polls was Clinton +10. The average of the most recent 4 polls is Clinton +5.25 A big change. The Democrat convention bounce is fading away. Bloomberg 8/5 - 8/8 749 LV 3.6 50 44 Clinton +6 Reuters/Ipsos 8/6 - 8/10 974 LV 3.5 42 36 Clinton +6 Economist/YouGov 8/6 - 8/9 911 RV 4.2 48 41 Clinton +7 LA Times/USC 8/4 - 8/10 2203 LV -- 45 43 Clinton +2 NBC News/SM 8/1 - 8/7 11480 RV 1.2 51 41 Clinton +10 ABC News/Wash Post 8/1 - 8/4 815 RV 4.0 50 42 Clinton +8 IBD/TIPP 7/29 - 8/4 851 RV 3.4 46 39 Clinton +7 McClatchy/Marist 8/1 - 8/3 983 RV 3.1 48 33 Clinton +15

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