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Old August 24th, 2013, 10:13 AM   #1
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Thumbs up Rasmussen; A Teabaggin' Fave!

<tick><tick><tick><tick><tick><tick><tick>...
SPLAT!!!!!


Quote:

"Scott Rasmussen has left Rasmussen Reports, one of the least accurate pollsters of the last two elections. From that perspective, you might expect that Rasmussen was fired for bad surveys. His polls were biased toward Republican candidates in two consecutive cycles, outrageously so in 2012. He refused to interview voters with a cell phone, even though mounting research confirms they tilt toward Democratic leaning groups. He weighted his samples to a fantasy electorate where there are millions more white, Republican voters. And unlike Gallup, which is in the middle of an extensive post-election effort to improve its polling, Rasmussen's post-election rethinking involved reweighting their tracking poll to the 2012 exit polls, even though you really, really can't do that.

Really embarassing stuff."


"No means NO!, Jimmyb!!!!"

Last edited by Medicine Man; August 24th, 2013 at 10:53 AM.
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Old August 24th, 2013, 10:23 AM   #2
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Scott Rasmussen to Launch New Media Venture

According to analysis by Fordham University, Rasmussen Reports and The Pew Research Center were consistently the most accurate.

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Old August 24th, 2013, 10:26 AM   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jimmyb View Post
Scott Rasmussen to Launch New Media Venture

According to analysis by Fordham University, Rasmussen Reports and The Pew Research Center were consistently the most accurate.

Do you have a link to the Fordham analysis? I'm particularly interested in how Gallup ranked.
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Old August 24th, 2013, 10:28 AM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RNG View Post
Do you have a link to the Fordham analysis? I'm particularly interested in how Gallup ranked.
I will search for it; that was from memory. I found a quick one from the 2008 Presidential election. Gallop was pretty low.

Link.

1.Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1.Pew (10/29-11/1)**
2.YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
3.Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
4.GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
5.Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
5.ARG (10/25-27)*
6.CNN (10/30-11/1)
6.Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
7.DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
8.AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
9.Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
10.FOX (11/1-2)
11.Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
12.IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
13.NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
14.ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)
15.Marist College (11/3)
16.CBS (10/31-11/2)
17.Gallup (10/31-11/2)
18.Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
19.CBS/Times (10/25-29)
20.Newsweek (10/22-23)

Last edited by Jimmyb; August 24th, 2013 at 10:31 AM.
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