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Old August 11th, 2017, 02:09 PM   #1
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The WSJ Frets Over How All Out Nuclear War Could Hurt Investments


Crater # 3,413 marks the former home of Goldman Sachs

How can you know the potential for war is serious?

When the guys on Wall Street start thinking about it in terms of dollars. But as daunting as the idea of a nuclear exchange may be, the subtitle of this Wall Street Journal article still looks as if it were lifted from the the least funny issue of the Onion.

Analysts are trying to work out what happens to the markets they cover in the event of an all-out nuclear war

Yes. That is certainly an important question.

Just how does one reach one’s broker when Goldman Sachs is under a pile of boiling slag? Is there such a thing as cockroach futures? And just what does Pat Boone have to say about how this will affect my reverse mortgage?

Strategists at Nordea Markets estimate that in the unlikely event of “a potentially uncontained military conflict” in which global superpowers like China and Russia get involved, the European Central Bank would have to implement “highly dovish forward guidance” and the yield curve would likely flatten due to weaker risk appetite.

Well that makes sense. Certainly a lot of things would be “flattened” in the event of a “uncontained military conflict in which global superpowers get involved.”

Though the monetary policy of the European Central Bank would matter much, much, much less than the ability of tardigrades to survive in a high temperature environment for few millennia.

Here’s the forecast from Shane Oliver, head of investment strategy and chief economist at AMP Capital:

Should there ultimately be a significant military conflict, with North Korea likely launching missile attacks against South Korea and Japan, “this would entail a more significant impact on share markets with, say, 20% or so falls before it became clear that the U.S. would prevail.”

What does Shane have to say about what an incoming asteroid would do to annuities? How about the effect of a nearby supernova on the bond market? And also, WTF is wrong with you people?

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/201...rt-investments
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Old August 11th, 2017, 02:14 PM   #2
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Is it time to dig a hole in the back yard and get out the coffee can?
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Old August 11th, 2017, 02:35 PM   #3
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If war was bad for the ruling class it wouldn't be an ongoing operation.


Quote:

On July 18, 1815, a courier working for Rothschild informed the English government that Napoleon appeared to be suffering defeat at Waterloo. The English government, believing instead that they were losing the battle, dismissed the courier's report and believed it to be false information. At this point, with England's future seeming dire, Rothschild began selling all of his bonds, encouraging rumors that Napoleon had won and that English government paper would soon be worthless. Due to Rothschild's reputation as an influential, renowned and respected investor, the panicked English public followed his lead. The mass selling resulted in a total collapse of the English stock exchange. It was then that Rothschild's agents began snatching up bonds and stock at record-low prices. Two days later, when Wellington's envoy confirmed that Napoleon Bonaparte had indeed suffered a crushing defeat, Nathan Rothschild was effectively in control of the English stock exchange. As of 2015, the English government was still paying back money owed to the Rothschild family from this Napoleonic maneuver.



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Old August 11th, 2017, 02:39 PM   #4
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Obviously the correct strategy would be to sell now. Then if you are a pessimist, piss it all away on hookers and booze. If you're an optimist, wait and buy back in after the 20% drop, assuming of course that there still will be an operating trading floor anywhere.
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Old August 11th, 2017, 03:18 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RNG View Post
Obviously the correct strategy would be to sell now. Then if you are a pessimist, piss it all away on hookers and booze. If you're an optimist, wait and buy back in after the 20% drop, assuming of course that there still will be an operating trading floor anywhere.
Put that theory to the test.


https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=...68rzZJl40E5QLw
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Old August 11th, 2017, 04:19 PM   #6
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Originally Posted by Sabcat View Post
If war was bad for the ruling class it wouldn't be an ongoing operation.
Wait, I thought Goldman-Sachs was running the world....
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Old August 11th, 2017, 04:29 PM   #7
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... my portfolio is the first thing I think of when nuclear holocaust thoughts invade my mind
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Old August 11th, 2017, 04:31 PM   #8
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lets see I have Gold, meaningless for a while Guns, which will be needed, Food and land on which to hunt.
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Old August 11th, 2017, 04:32 PM   #9
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Wait, I thought Goldman-Sachs was running the world....
In the World according to Camelot they do.
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Old August 11th, 2017, 04:36 PM   #10
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lets see I have Gold, meaningless for a while Guns, which will be needed, Food and land on which to hunt.
I have guns (well, A gun LOL) and land. No extra food or gold.

Guess I'm a goner.
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