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Old August 1st, 2016, 09:13 AM   #1
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Get Ready For Obama's October Surprise In Iraq This Fall

The American public could be treated to a major U.S.-led military victory in Iraq this fall, just as voters are deciding who will be the nation’s next president—but U.S. military officials insist the timing of the operation has nothing to do with politics.

Iraqi and Kurdish military and paramilitary units are preparing for a push on Mosul, the Islamic State-held city that is now in the cross hairs of the U.S.-led coalition battling the terrorist group across the Middle East. “The idea is to isolate Mosul, cut it off, kill it,” a senior U.S. Central Command officer told me.

Senior military officers say the city in northern Iraq, which has been under Islamic State control since June 2014, will be enveloped in a complex pincer movement from Iraqi military forces battling their way into the city from the southeast and Kurdish units storming the city from the northwest.

The military offensive, months in the planning, is now tentatively scheduled to begin sometime in early October, with a final battle for Mosul coming at the end of that month.

If Mosul is retaken, it would both mark a major political triumph for Barack Obama and likely benefit his party’s nominee at the polls, Hillary Clinton, undercutting Republican claims that the Obama administration has failed to take off the gloves against the Islamic State. Even so, senior officers at U.S. Central Command who are overseeing the effort scoff at the notion that the Mosul offensive is being timed to help the candidate Obama is now actively campaigning for, his former secretary of state.

“Hurrying this thing along for political benefit would be just about the dumbest thing that we could do,” the senior Centcom officer told me this week, “and there’s been no pressure for us to do that. None.

Iraqi and Kurdish fighters are going to fight for the city when they’re damned good and ready, and not before. There’s too much at stake to do it any other way.”

All evidence supports that notion, but U.S. officials have confirmed the Pentagon is planning ways to time their offensive against Mosul with an attack on the Islamic State “capital” in Raqqa, Syria. A coordinated Mosul-Raqqa military offensive could yield a dual defeat to the ISIS caliphate, unhinge ISIS power in both Syria and Iraq and have the added benefit of pinning ISIS units moving into Iraq along interior lines from Syria in place.

In late March, the Centcom stepped up its monitoring of the Syria-Iraq border, with the intended purpose of spotting and bombing ISIS units headed toward Mosul.

The ambitious plans for Mosul and Raqqa reflect a shift in tactics and deeper U.S. involvement that has not been fully reported in the U.S. media—or talked about in the presidential campaign.

Most recently, Centcom has gained White House permission to deploy U.S. advisers with Iraqi units at the battalion level, which would place U.S. advisers and trainers in greater danger, but would also give them more control of the battlefield.

And the U.S. has been quick to flow advisers (an initial tranche of some 200 in all) into al-Qayyarah air base, about 40 miles south of Mosul, which was overrun by Iraqi military forces last week.

Washington has also boldly stepped up its support of the Peshmerga, the veteran military units of the Kurdistan Regional Government who will lead the assault on Mosul from the north, despite the risk of upsetting the delicate regional politics—especially suspicions by the Shia-led Iraqi government that the U.S. is favoring the Kurds.

On July 12, the U.S. signed an agreement with the KRG to provide Peshmerga units with $415 million for the purchase of ammunition and medical equipment. The agreement would also provide heavy weapons to Peshmerga units, which have been consistently outgunned by ISIS fighters, according to one senior civilian Pentagon official.

The $415 million would correct that shortfall, with weapons flowing into Peshmerga units near Mosul.

The stepped-up aid to the Kurds reflects U.S. military confidence that the Islamic State is being rolled back. Since the campaign was initiated on August 8, 2014, the U.S.-led coalition has launched over 13,000 airstrikes on Islamic State military targets.

Just as crucially, the four near-term goals laid out by the U.S. military to combat ISIS are on the verge of completion: to stabilize Anbar, prepare coalition ground forces to take Mosul, organize a ground campaign in Syria for a planned assault on Raqqa and ramp up the flow of weapons for anti-ISIS ground forces.


Read more: Get Ready for Obama?s ?October Surprise? in Iraq - POLITICO Magazine
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Old August 1st, 2016, 06:30 PM   #2
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Well, that makes sense. Hillary has cold war plans for the industrial military complex. So off to Europe we go!
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Old August 1st, 2016, 06:47 PM   #3
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Well, that makes sense. Hillary has cold war plans for the industrial military complex. So off to Europe we go!
Dude, we have been in Europe for about 70 fucking years now, hadn't anyone told you?
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Old August 1st, 2016, 07:04 PM   #4
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When I heard recently that the 500+ additional special forces being sent there, Mosul was the first thing that came to mind. The Big "O" wants Mosul before he leaves office.
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Old August 1st, 2016, 07:38 PM   #5
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When I heard recently that the 500+ additional special forces being sent there, Mosul was the first thing that came to mind. The Big "O" wants Mosul before he leaves office.

Who lost Mosul because of his actions, or lack thereof? Oh, the Big "O". Big "0".

And it will help Hillary zero.


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Old August 1st, 2016, 07:49 PM   #6
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When I heard recently that the 500+ additional special forces being sent there, Mosul was the first thing that came to mind. The Big "O" wants Mosul before he leaves office.
Maybe so, but since Obama wants Mosul, that's the wrong thing to do, keeping in mind that if he didn't want Mosul, that too would be the wrong thing to do, too.
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Old August 11th, 2016, 04:17 AM   #7
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Well who big are Islamic State(IS) loses since the war begin for two year back??

Is it over 50 percent from start also how manny troops by IS??

Last edited by Kipper; August 11th, 2016 at 04:18 AM. Reason: Short second lineup
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Old August 11th, 2016, 04:25 AM   #8
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Well, that makes sense. Hillary has cold war plans for the industrial military complex. So off to Europe we go!
So, NOW you boys DON"T want ISIS destroyed?
Or you DO want it destroyed BUT ONLY if it can be done in such a manner that neither the Obama administration or the almost certain-to-be Clinton administration to be given any credit for it?

OR would you boys prefer to not really commit either way until you see how the fight is likely to turn out?
If it appears to be a certain victory you can start to cry about how it was really not anything that Obama/Clinton had to do with really OR you can concentrate your outrage on the lives it cost no matter how few.
If it looks like a failure you can start with it ALL (any defeat or failure that is) falls directly on the heads of Obama/Clinton.

Must be tough to be you people.
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Old August 11th, 2016, 10:43 AM   #9
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How manny ground troops Obama have send to Islamic State Iraq war??
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Old August 12th, 2016, 11:16 AM   #10
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Maybe so, but since Obama wants Mosul, that's the wrong thing to do, keeping in mind that if he didn't want Mosul, that too would be the wrong thing to do, too.
Yup, Yup, Yup, Obama is wrong for honoring the agreement Bush negotiated. Had he ignored the agreement they'd be complaining about the massive deficits being caused by the ongoing occupation. And/or they'd be claiming he couldn't be trusted since he doesn't honor our agreements.

Just like many of them have made comments about Obama not closing GITMO while at the same time complaining about him letting those "terrorists" go.

That Bush had the leader of ISIS in custody in 2004 is completely irrelevant.
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