can you explain this?

Nov 2012
Lebanon, TN
Ummm...Trump's disapprovals, from 538, are an average of five polls including Rasmussen. Like many Trumpistas, you don't read, you just react ... emotionally.
re-read post 26

What that means is Trump is polarizing and trending positive.

The average if the last 9 polls is 45-52

this us up from 35-37% approval according to some individual polls.

Last edited:
Feb 2007
538 they said Trump had a 2% Chance of winning in 2016... I think that is a 95%+ Bias in the wrong direction

Who will win the presidency?
Chance of winning

(Based on the polls only forecast)

Hillary Clinton - 71.4%
Donald Trump - 28.6%

(Based on the polls plus forecast)

Hillary Clinton - 71.8%
Donald Trump - 28.2%

(And actually, the 538 site was far more accurate when compared with numerous other projections.)

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