Every sign is pointing to a Democratic wave in November

Sep 2018
cleveland ohio
On Tuesday, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia moved 17(!) House seats in Democrats' favor -- eight of which went from a "leans Republican" rating to a "toss-up." That means that of the 36 races rated as "toss-ups" by the Center of Politics, 34 are held by Republicans. Remember that Democrats only need a 23-seat pickup to regain the majority they lost in 2010.
"Democrats are now a little better than 50-50 to win the House," concludes Kyle Kondik, the managing editor of UVA professor Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball. "This is the first time this cycle we've gone beyond 50-50 odds on a House turnover." He adds later: "At this point, we see the Democrats with slightly better odds to get their required share of the 'toss-ups' based largely on the environment, but also because they appear to have well-funded and credible challengers in these districts that can capitalize on that environment."

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