- Dec 2018
- 3,312
- 2,448
- Wisconsin
We haven't had the first Democratic primary yet, but poll after poll shows it might already be down to 6 candidates.
National 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Polls
The leaders
- Joe Biden is the early favorite. He has the most name recognition and he offers a simple pitch as a prospective president: a return to normalcy. Based on what's happened over the last two weeks, it looks like the strategy of moderate democrats is to make Trump look as crazy as possible then Joe comes in and says "Let's get back to normal."
- Bernie Sanders is the second horse in the race. Second most name recognition, the most aggressive agenda and an advocate for change. He, like Trump in 2016, is emblematic of a rejection of the establishment.
The rest
- Say what you want about Elizabeth Warren, she's separating herself by putting out policy after policy after policy. No one has put out more proposals than Warren and it's not even close. If you want to vote based on people trying to get things done, she's positioning herself as that candidate.
- Kamala Harris is positioning herself as the hard-nosed AG from CA who treats every Senate hearing like a court case. She looks and sounds like a prosecutor who isn't afraid to attack. And while it shouldn't matter, IMO, she appeals to both women and blacks in the US (I don't us "African American" because that doesn't encompass Jamaicans, Hatians, etc.)
- Beto O'Rourke still holds national appeal from his TX Senate race but he's got the personality appeal that helped propell Obama in 2007. His strategy is to go to coffee shop after coffee shop and talk to voters. That's it. It may work, but he'll have to prove himself on the debate stage.
- Mayor Pete Buttigeg is the most surprising candidate of the cycle. The 37 year old has show poise in the media, including his Fox News town hall. His appeal to the youth could be a major factor, if not as the front-runner, as a major VP candidate.
I would also argue keep an eye on Cory Booker, Amy Klobuchar and Andrew Yang as I think they'll be good on a debate stage.
National 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Polls
The leaders
- Joe Biden is the early favorite. He has the most name recognition and he offers a simple pitch as a prospective president: a return to normalcy. Based on what's happened over the last two weeks, it looks like the strategy of moderate democrats is to make Trump look as crazy as possible then Joe comes in and says "Let's get back to normal."
- Bernie Sanders is the second horse in the race. Second most name recognition, the most aggressive agenda and an advocate for change. He, like Trump in 2016, is emblematic of a rejection of the establishment.
The rest
- Say what you want about Elizabeth Warren, she's separating herself by putting out policy after policy after policy. No one has put out more proposals than Warren and it's not even close. If you want to vote based on people trying to get things done, she's positioning herself as that candidate.
- Kamala Harris is positioning herself as the hard-nosed AG from CA who treats every Senate hearing like a court case. She looks and sounds like a prosecutor who isn't afraid to attack. And while it shouldn't matter, IMO, she appeals to both women and blacks in the US (I don't us "African American" because that doesn't encompass Jamaicans, Hatians, etc.)
- Beto O'Rourke still holds national appeal from his TX Senate race but he's got the personality appeal that helped propell Obama in 2007. His strategy is to go to coffee shop after coffee shop and talk to voters. That's it. It may work, but he'll have to prove himself on the debate stage.
- Mayor Pete Buttigeg is the most surprising candidate of the cycle. The 37 year old has show poise in the media, including his Fox News town hall. His appeal to the youth could be a major factor, if not as the front-runner, as a major VP candidate.
I would also argue keep an eye on Cory Booker, Amy Klobuchar and Andrew Yang as I think they'll be good on a debate stage.
