Italy in lockdown

RNG

Forum Staff
Apr 2013
42,228
30,750
La La Land North
Yes, the latest data from China indicates there are probably hundreds of thousands of typhoid Marys running around right now.
 
Feb 2007
6,445
4,195
USA
US COVID-19 Statistics - 30Mar20 - Copy.png

(Note: The number of new confirmed cases per day has seemingly been decreasing the past six days or so, lately doubling about every 3.5+ days from about every 2.5 days a week ago. Though, this change could just be related to a proportional change to the number of tests being performed during the past six days.)

:eek:
 
Jul 2018
3,278
1,059
Earth
Is this good news or bad news?

Italy's coronavirus deaths rise slightly, but new cases continue to slow
30 March 2020

"Another 812 people died since contracting the new coronavirus, according to the latest daily figures from Italy's Civil Protection department on Monday, an increase from 756 on Sunday.

But while deaths were up, the number of new infections continued to slow. Another 4,050 cases were confirmed on Monday, compared to 5,217 on Sunday and 5,974 on Saturday.

In total, Italy has confirmed 101,739 cases of coronavirus since the outbreak began, 11,591 of them fatal."
https://www.thelocal.it/20200330/latest-coronavirus-deaths-italy
 
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Feb 2007
6,445
4,195
USA
As I suspected, the number of new confirmed cases per day has seemingly been decreasing the past week or so likely as a result of the decreasing change to the increasing number of tests being performed during the past week or so.:

US COVID-19 Testing Statistics - 31Mar20 - Copy.png
 
Feb 2007
6,445
4,195
USA
Is this good news or bad news?

Italy's coronavirus deaths rise slightly, but new cases continue to slow
30 March 2020

"Another 812 people died since contracting the new coronavirus, according to the latest daily figures from Italy's Civil Protection department on Monday, an increase from 756 on Sunday.

But while deaths were up, the number of new infections continued to slow. Another 4,050 cases were confirmed on Monday, compared to 5,217 on Sunday and 5,974 on Saturday.

In total, Italy has confirmed 101,739 cases of coronavirus since the outbreak began, 11,591 of them fatal."
https://www.thelocal.it/20200330/latest-coronavirus-deaths-italy
I'd say bad news based on the daily increasing rate of deaths and the observation that the daily number of new cases is dependent upon the number of tests being performed, which could lead to a misleading and false conclusion that the contagion spread is slowing down.
 
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Jul 2014
16,467
10,858
massachusetts
It should be noted that so far the US has shown the fastest rate of growth of any country, faster than Italy at this stage.

Elections have consequences....
 
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Feb 2007
6,445
4,195
USA
Apparently, testing in the US is not accelerating and has leveled off a bit during the past six days, with an average of 104,573 new tests being performed every day during that time period.:

US COVID-19 Testing Statistics - 01Apr20 - Copy.png

And, again, this might explain why the number of new positive (confirmed) cases every day appears to be decreasing, while the case fatality rate appears to be increasing.:

US COVID-19 Statistics - 01Apr20 - Copy.png

On the other hand, the number of deaths during the past couple of days appear to be doubling about every 3 to 3.5 days, and since mid-March doubling a bit less than every 3 days on average.

:eek:
 
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