New insight on Trump voters

Apr 2013
33,453
22,656
Left coast
#1
This is a summary of an article from the NYT (paywall) that I can't see but is linked below. It is from the Axios AM newsletter.

A new academic study finds that Trump voters' anxiety was driven more by fear of what may come than by anger over the past, according to a New York Times account by Niraj Chokshi that shot to #1 on the site's Most Popular list:

"A study published on Monday in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences [suggests that w]hite, Christian and male voters ... turned to Mr. Trump because they felt their status was at risk" and they felt "a growing sense of racial or global threat."

"The study is not the first to cast doubt on the prevailing economic anxiety theory."

"[T]he findings revealed a fear that American global dominance was in danger, a belief that benefited Mr. Trump and the Republican Party."​

Be smart: The trends feared by Trump voters have only accelerated, adding to his hold on a base that has stayed rock stable.
Paranoia runs deep.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/24/...ampaign=newsletter_axiosam&stream=top-stories
 
Likes: 1 person
Dec 2013
29,187
17,947
Everything is going to be OK
#3
Yeah, it had absolutely nothing to do w clinton being probably the worst presidential candidate of all time that made it through the primaries. (Even though she didn't as much make it through the primaries as much as rig them. Then again that adds to her being such a horrible candidate)
 
Likes: 2 people
Dec 2015
12,514
11,501
Arizona
#4
Our global dominance was in danger?? OUR global dominance? Are these folks referring to our military might? OR something else?
Here is more from the article--I have a subscription.

Even before conducting her analysis, Dr. Mutz noted two reasons for skepticism of the economic anxiety, or “left behind,” theory. First, the economy was improving before the 2016 presidential campaign. Second, while research has suggested that voters are swayed by the economy, there is little evidence that their own financial situation similarly influences their choices at the ballot box.

The analysis offered even more reason for doubt.

Losing a job or income between 2012 and 2016 did not make a person any more likely to support Mr. Trump, Dr. Mutz found. Neither did the mere perception that one’s financial situation had worsened. A person’s opinion on how trade affected personal finances had little bearing on political preferences. Neither did unemployment or the density of manufacturing jobs in one’s area. “It wasn’t people in those areas that were switching, those folks were already voting Republican,” Dr. Mutz said.

While economic anxiety did not explain Mr. Trump’s appeal, Dr. Mutz found reason instead to credit those whose thinking changed in ways that reflected a growing sense of racial or global threat.

In 2012, voters perceived little difference between themselves and the candidates on trade. But, by 2016, the voters had moved slightly right, while they perceived Mr. Trump as moving about as far right as Mrs. Clinton had moved left. As a result, the voters, in a defensive crouch, found themselves closer to Mr. Trump.
Her survey also assessed “social dominance orientation,” a common psychological measure of a person’s belief in a hierarchy as necessary and inherent to a society. People who exhibited a growing belief in such group dominance were also more likely to move toward Mr. Trump, Dr. Mutz found, reflecting their hope that the status quo be protected.

“It used to be a pretty good deal to be a white, Christian male in America, but things have changed and I think they do feel threatened,” Dr. Mutz said.

The other surveys supported the cultural anxiety explanation, too.

This is me: Anxiety of different sorts seems to make sense, but let's remember that only about 55-56% of eligible voters voted in the 2016 Presidential election. Trump never had a mandate. He did not win the popular vote. So, in the end, we had a minority-majority win...if there is such a thing.
 
Likes: 1 person
Nov 2012
2,133
1,375
Rhondda
#9
Bible-bashing, bang-bangs and now a Big Bully to hide behind. Poor yellow buggers are shitting bricks. Free tranquilisers now!
 
Likes: 1 person

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