- Apr 2013
- Left coast
To prevent war with China, study World War I ... Graham Allison, the Douglas Dillon professor of government at Harvard Kennedy School, for the WashPost:
This article was in the Axios AM Newsletter. The parallels with the lead-up to WWI are scary.
- "The ... structural cause of World War I follows a familiar historical pattern: a rapidly rising power, Germany, challenging the primacy of an established one, Great Britain, which had ruled the world for a century."
- "In this dangerous dynamic — the Thucydides’s Trap — both rivals become extremely vulnerable to third-party provocations, or even accidents, that trigger a cascade of reactions, at the end of which they find themselves in a war neither wanted."
. Allison coined the phrase Thucydides Trap to refer to when a rising power causes fear in an established power which escalates toward war.Thucydides wrote: "What made war inevitable was the growth of Athenian power and the fear which this caused in Sparta."